Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.059366 0.069422 0.080628 0.094037 0.109646 0.127240 0.148579
2025-09-21 0.042274 0.054932 0.070545 0.091207 0.117826 0.150969 0.195391
2025-09-28 0.032263 0.045458 0.063053 0.088201 0.123211 0.170232 0.238231
2025-10-05 0.027200 0.040960 0.060516 0.090288 0.134448 0.197539 0.294606
2025-10-12 0.023167 0.036955 0.057663 0.090960 0.143124 0.221727 0.349286
2025-10-19 0.019998 0.033587 0.055029 0.091226 0.150768 0.244843 0.404928
2025-10-26 0.017722 0.031194 0.053430 0.092667 0.160133 0.271414 0.469101
2025-11-02 0.016113 0.029619 0.052853 0.095563 0.172059 0.303325 0.545923
2025-11-09 0.013832 0.026492 0.049142 0.092418 0.172977 0.316471 0.591750
2025-11-16 0.012331 0.024546 0.047219 0.092137 0.178826 0.338728 0.656374
2025-11-23 0.010979 0.022672 0.045148 0.091236 0.183284 0.358792 0.719161
2025-11-30 0.010124 0.021644 0.044533 0.093025 0.193061 0.389855 0.806741
2025-12-07 0.009056 0.020050 0.042631 0.092060 0.197396 0.411215 0.878549
2025-12-14 0.007997 0.018320 0.040225 0.089731 0.198629 0.426538 0.940082
2025-12-21 0.007035 0.016659 0.037733 0.086856 0.198277 0.438453 0.995800
2025-12-28 0.006579 0.016076 0.037500 0.088928 0.209012 0.475192 1.110317
2026-01-04 0.006069 0.015290 0.036704 0.089593 0.216622 0.505938 1.215164
2026-01-11 0.005587 0.014501 0.035793 0.089856 0.223307 0.535342 1.320545
2026-01-18 0.005225 0.013955 0.035386 0.091276 0.232925 0.572632 1.449309
2026-01-25 0.004974 0.013660 0.035550 0.094129 0.246424 0.620700 1.610359
2026-02-01 0.004440 0.012538 0.033491 0.091031 0.244498 0.630996 1.678158
2026-02-08 0.004098 0.011886 0.032557 0.090754 0.249830 0.659986 1.797537
2026-02-15 0.003762 0.011204 0.031451 0.089866 0.253422 0.684946 1.909446